Miami Quarterfinal Predictions: Fritz v Berrettini and Fils v Mensik

Written by: David Barisic | March 27, 2025
berrettini tennis

The quarter finals continue on Thursday in Miami and here we find the best bets for Fritz v Berrettini and Fils v Mensik.

Taylor Fritz vs. Matteo Berrettini

28.03.2025, 00:00 CEST
Head-to-Head: 4-0

Taylor Fritz enters the quarterfinals with four wins in his last five matches, dominating in Miami this week. Heโ€™s won all three of his matches in straight sets, including a quick 1-hour victory over Shapovalov in the third round. Last year, he made it to the quarterfinals in Miami, but was upset by Seyboth Wild in the second round. In his 1/8-Final match, Fritz defeated Walton in straight sets.

Matteo Berrettini, like Fritz, has won four of his last five matches. However, his journey in Miami has been more challenging. He struggled in his opening round against Gaston but bounced back with straight-set victories over Bergs and de Minaur in the third and fourth rounds. In his 1/8-Final, Berrettini saved six set points against de Minaur. Last year, he was knocked out in the first round by Murray.

Best Bets for Fritz v Berrettini:

Bookmakers list Berrettini as the underdog, but we believe he could keep this match closer than expected. He showed resilience in his 1/8-Final against de Minaur, and despite Fritzโ€™s impressive form this week, Fritz has had a favorable draw. We expect Berrettini to cover the games handicap.

Prediction 1: Matteo Berrettini +2.5 Games Handicap @-132

Fritz has been serving exceptionally well this week in Miami, with only one double fault so far. In their previous head-to-head, Fritz had just one double fault in a three-set match against Berrettini. We anticipate another strong serving performance, with Fritz committing fewer than 2 double faults.

Prediction 2:
Taylor Fritz Under 1.5 Double Faults @ -150 or 1.67

Win on tennis at the Pinnacle Sportsbook
Win on tennis at Everygame Sportsbook
Win on tennis at 20bet

Arthur Fils vs. Jakub Mensik

27.03.2025, 18:00 CEST
Head-to-Head: 1-0

Arthur Fils has been in great form, winning four of his last five matches. In Miami, he achieved an impressive victory over Tiafoe in the third round, claiming the win in three tight sets and serving superbly with 21 aces. He followed that up with a three-set win over Zverev in the 1/8-Finals. Last year, Fils lost in the opening round to Arnaldi during his Miami debut. More on Arthur Fils racquet.

Jakub Mensik has also won four of his last five matches, and his run in Miami has been impressive. He upset Draper in the second round and then defeated Safiullin in straight sets in the third round, not allowing any breakpoints. In his 1/8-Final, Mensik advanced after Machac retired during their match.

Best Bets for Fils v Mensik:

This matchup is expected to be close, but we see Mensik as having an advantage. Fils has played two tough matches, especially his battle with Zverev, and has already taken a medical timeout. In contrast, Mensik, having played three days ago, will be the fresher of the two.

Value Bet/Best Odds:

Jakub Mensik to Win @ 1.91 or -110

Looking to place a bet? Head over to our betting section.

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David Barisic