ATP Masters 1000 Miami, Day 5: Dimitrov vs Khachanov, Munar vs Monfils

Written by: David Barisic | March 23, 2025
dimitrov

Dimitrov – Khachanov

H2H: 5-1

Grigor Dimitrov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Dimitrov won against Cina in straight sets almost within an hour. He was great under pressure, saving both breakpoints.

Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Khachanov defeated Kyrgios in straight sets. This is his ninth appearance in Miami. Last season, Khachanov lost in the fourth round against Zverev in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Dimitrov leads head-to-head meetings 5-1. Khachanov is in terrible form, and Dimitrov finished as a runner-up last season in Miami. We expect Dimitrov to be a better player.

That being said, Dimitrov winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Grigor Dimitrov winning @1.91

Munar – Monfils

H2H: 0-1

Jaume Munar has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Munar won both matches in straight sets. In the second round, the Spaniard upset Medvedev in straight sets yesterday. Last season in Miami, Munar lost in the opening round against Landaluce in three tight sets. Read more about Jaume Munar’s racquet.

Gael Monfils has won four of his last five matches, including both this week in Miami in three tight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, Monfils saved one matchpoint in the deciding set tiebreak against Lehecka. He has never made it past the quarterfinals in Miami.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Munar is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Monfils turns 39 this season, and he has already played two exhausting matches in Miami. On the other hand, Munar played his best tennis and dominated against Medvedev. We expect Munar to keep this match tight.

That being said, Munar winning at least one set is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jaume Munar +1.5 sets @1.58

munar
Jaume Munar

Musetti – Auger-Aliassime

H2H: 3-3

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Musetti defeated Halys in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 5-7, he stepped up his level and turned the match around. Last season in Miami, he lost in the fourth round to Alcaraz in straight sets.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Auger-Aliassime defeated Schoolkate in straight sets. He only offered and saved one breakpoint.  Last season in Miami, he lost in the second round against Zverev in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Auger-Aliassime is in great form. He has won two ATP titles this season on hard and is one of the most consistent players. On the other hand, Musetti has underperformed this season so far.

That being said, Auger-Aliassime winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime winning @1.67

Want to bet on the matches? Head over to our tennis betting page.

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David Barisic