We’re entering the quarterfinals of the 2025 Miami Open and the question is, will the major upsets continue? Let’s look at our best bets and predictions for Zverev v Fils, Cerundolo vs Dimitrov and Korda vs Djokovic.
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Zverev vs. Fils
26.03.2025, 20:00 CEST
Head-to-Head: 3-1
Alexander Zverev enters this match with a 3-2 record in his last five matches. In Miami, he has been solid, winning both of his opening rounds in straight sets. In his third-round victory, he defeated Thompson in straight sets. Last season, Zverev reached the semifinals in Miami, where he was knocked out by Dimitrov. He also made it to the final here in 2018 but has yet to claim the title. Read more about Zverev’s racquet.
Arthur Fils, on the other hand, has won four of his last five matches. In Miami, Fils scored a significant upset by defeating Tiafoe in the third round, winning in three closely contested sets, including 21 aces. This is only his second appearance in Miami; last year, he lost in the first round to Arnaldi.
Best Bet:
While the bookmakers favor Zverev, we believe Fils has the edge. Zverev has been struggling since the Australian Open, while Fils has shown excellent form, including a strong performance under pressure against Tiafoe. In their previous head-to-head, Zverev won in three tough sets, but we expect Fils to keep it close again.
Predictions / best odds: Fils +3.5 games handicap @ 1.73 or -137.5
Cerundolo vs. Dimitrov
26.03.2025, 21:30 CEST
Head-to-Head: 0-1
Francisco Cerundolo has been in fantastic form, winning four of his last five matches. In Miami, he has been dominant, winning all three of his matches without dropping a set. In the third round, he dispatched Ruud in straight sets with impressive play.
Grigor Dimitrov has also won four of his last five matches. However, his route to the quarterfinals has been a bit easier. He faced a tough challenge in the third round against Khachanov, losing the opening set but eventually bouncing back. Dimitrov then defeated Nakashima in straight sets, giving up no break points.
Best Bet:
Despite the bookmakers favoring Dimitrov, we see Cerundolo as the more confident and in-form player. He has been playing at a high level, while Dimitrov’s draw has been relatively favorable so far. Cerundolo is well-positioned to get the win here.
Predictions / best odds: Cerundolo to win @ 2.10 or +110
Korda vs. Djokovic
27.03.2025, 01:30 CEST
Head-to-Head: 0-1
Sebastian Korda has won three of his last five matches, but this season has been disappointing for him overall. In Miami, however, he has shown signs of improvement, defeating Monfils in a three-set battle in the third round after two hours of play.
Novak Djokovic, by contrast, has been dominant, winning three of his last five matches, including all three in straight sets this week. In the third round, he overwhelmed Musetti, dropping only four games in a clinical 2-0 victory. More on the current racquet of Djokovic.
Best Bet:
While Djokovic is the obvious favorite, his recent form in Miami has been impeccable, and he’s hungry for another title. We expect him to continue his dominance and secure another straightforward win here.
Predictions / best odds: Djokovic to win 2-0 @ 1.73 or -137.5
