Australian Open Value Bets, Zverev vs Pouille and Ruud vs Munar

ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals

Ruud vs Munar: 12.01.2025 03:00 CEST

H2H: 3-1

Casper Ruud has won four of his last five matches. So far this season, Ruud has only played in the United Cup, winning both matches. In his opening match, Casper defeated Machac in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court. After that against Poland, Casper won against Hurkacz in straight sets. The Norwegian had his career-best results on clay. However, he quickly adapts to every surface. Last year in Melbourne, Ruud reached the third round, losing against Norrie in four tight sets.

Jaume Munar has won three of his last five matches. Like Ruud, Munar also played only one preparation tournament this season. Last week in Hong Kong, he made it to the semifinals. Munar was on the verge of winning his semifinal match against Muller but crumbled under pressure. The Spaniard is also a clay-court specialist who never had any results on hard courts. Last year in the Australian Open, Munar lost in the second round against Mannarino in five tight sets.

Best Bets for Ruud vs Munar

According to the bookies, Ruud is the big favorite in this match, but we disagree. We expect a tough match with long rallies. Munar is always a dangerous player, and considering that both players are clay-court specialists, we expect a tight match.

We think that Munar covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jaume Munar +7.5 games handicap @1.60 | -162.5

Pouille vs Zverev: 12.01.2025 10:30 CEST

H2H: 0-1

Lucas Pouille has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, He has played only one preparation tournament. It was in Brisbane two weeks ago, when he failed to qualify for the main draw tournament, losing against Basavareddy in straight sets. The last time Lucas played in the Australian Open was in 2022, losing against Moutet in the opening round. His biggest result was reaching the semifinals in 2019, losing against Djokovic in straight sets.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Sascha played only in the United Cup this season, winning both matches. In his previous match, Zverev defeated Zhang in three sets. He looked rusty on the court in the opening set. However, once he found his rhythm, Zverev was exceptional. Last year in Melbourne, Alexander was 2-0 up against Medvedev in the semifinals. Zverev once again underperformed under pressure, and Daniil turned the match around. That semifinal match was also his biggest result in the Australian Open. He also reached the semifinals in 2020, losing against Thiem in four tight sets.

Best Bets for Pouille vs Zverev

According to the bookies, Zverev is the big favorite in this matchup, and we partially agree. Lucas is a heavy hitter and has a solid serve. He will be able to hold his service games comfortably. We still expect Zverev to win, but we expect Lucas to keep this match tighter than what the bookmakers think.

That being said, Pouille covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lucas Pouille +8.5 games handicap @1.79 | -125