Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard Struff, Preview and Predictions

by Stefan Jonsson
Jan-Lennard Struff

We’re entering the fourth-round matches in the 2024 Madrid Open and a place in the quarter-finals are up for grabs. An interesting battle today is the world no 3 Carlos Alcaraz that take on in-form German Jan-Lennard Struff.

When? The match is scheduled to start at 16.00 CET on Tuesday 30 April.

This is really a clash of generations where the 20-year-old Spaniard is the clear favorite in the odds going into the match.

For Alcaraz, this is really the first big challenge for him after a couple of rather easy straight set wins against Alexander Shevchenko and Thiago Seyboth Wild, to reach this round. It seems as Carlos is back in form following his right arm injury that has kept him away from most of the clay season so far.

His opponent today, 34-year-old Jan-Lennard Struff is really in fantastic form lately. He entered the Madrid event having just won his first-ever ATP tour title at the Bavarian International where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final.

Struff reached the round of 32 with wins over Jaume Munar and Ugo Humbert in straight sets and he continues to impress.

H2H Struff v Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz is leading 2-1 in their three meetings and the last win came here in Madrid in last years final where he clinched it over three sets.

Predictions and Odds

Alcaraz will come prepared for this match and he knows what he is up against. Struff has never lost against the Spaniard in straight sets and he might take at least one set even here today seeing his latest form.

Struff will again rely heavily on his strong serve and attacking play but in the end it might come down to who can capitalize on the few break point chances. I would also consider betting live seeing how Alcaraz start the game.

Prediction: Alcaraz to win. Odds to consider;

  • 1-2 Set Betting Alcaraz, odds 3.60 | +260
  • Over 0.5 Total Number of Tiebreaks, odds 2.50 | +150
  • Total Games Over 20.5 – 1.73 | -137.5

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