As the clay season is fully underway now, we are looking into the early favorites for Roland Garros, both by play and in the sports books. There certainly are some players that are always on the list, but following the Monte Carlo, Munich and Barcelona tournaments, there also seem to be a couple of new faces entering the race. Going into the second Grand Slam, here are the odds favorites for Paris in May 2025.
Carlos Alcaraz – 1/1 | 2.00 | +100
Of course, following a Masters title and a subsequent final in Barcelona, the Spanish star and defending champion must be the favorite to win the 2025 RG title. Not only did he remove doubt about his slow start to the year, but went on to win for the first time in Monte Carlo and could have arguably racked up his third Barcelona title, had it not been for both injury and an outstanding Holger Rune. It seems as if Alcaraz has come back to having fun on court, which is a threat in itself and seems to be more confident in playing percentage tennis again.
In recent months, his risk ratio seemed very high at times, but he managed to improve significantly on his “home surface”. Depending on the severity of his injury, he will enter Roland Garros as the clear-cut favorite and the odds are backing this heavily until now. Read more about Alcaraz current racquet.
Jannik Sinner – 5/2 | 3.50 | +250
Well, there is not much to say about the Italian World No. 1, as he is still banned for the situation around his physio in Indian Wells 2024. But the Italian did not lose his position, as apart from the last two weeks his main opponents did not always perform at the highest level. It remains to be seen whether he can find his level back in Rome, on a surface that was not always the easiest to him, but he remains a player to have on the shortlist every single time.
Novak Djokovic – 6/1 | 7.00 | +600
Another player mainly profiting from his resumé and history is Novak Djokovic. The Monte Carlo Masters appearance did not provide any proof that Novak is ready for bigger wins this year, yet we all know the focus and ability to peak unique to the Serbian legend. He will start his Madrid campaign later this week, which will hopefully give more insight into his current capabilities. But as for the tennis odds, the experience of winning 24 Slam titles seems to outperform the current season and if the Olympics 2024 showed us anything, it is to never rule out Novak Djokovic. More on Djokovic racquet and gear.
Alexander Zverev – 7.5/1 | 8.50 | +750
If we were talking about any other player, given the current opponents and his season so far, Alexander Zverev would have to make the top of this list easily. He was in the final of the Australian Open, turned around his weak period in the last week in Munich and loves the courts of Paris, where he reached last year’s final. But of course, Zverev also has the history of three lost finals, struggling in finishing matches and has recently changed and re-changed his racquet. That, together with a clear nervous reaction to the possibility of catching the banned Jannik Sinner, does not really provide one with the confidence to bet on the German. But this man is arguably the best player to never win a Grand Slam, has all tools to succeed in Paris and was very close last year against an in-stride Alcaraz. So, if his draw aligns and others struggle, expect Zverev to emerge as the second favorite behind the Spaniard.
Holger Rune – 25/1 | 21.00 | +2000
If you would have asked me at the beginning of the season about the odds of Rune winning a Slam this year, my answer would have been north of 1000/1 probably. But with the main contenders injured, suspended or out-of-form mostly, the young Dane did an outstanding job at the Barcelona 500 and will enter the two Masters stretch as the fifth-highest ranked favorite. He played an outstanding week in Spain, where he mainly showed a very mature and well-planned game style, that relied on both heavy hitting and physicality. If he can keep up this effort, why should it not be a surprise winner in Holger Rune this year.
Stefanos Tsitsipas – 12/1 | 13.00 | +1200
In theory, the Greek former finalist should be in front of players like Rune, let alone for his Slam experience and history. But even if he seemed to turn it around in the last couple of weeks, the Tsitsipas season went nothing like planned this year. He fell out of the top-10, seemingly changed his racquet setup and struggled to string together good performances. Although his result was not what he wanted, it seemed that he was pleased with his tennis in Monte Carlo, before having to retire due to back problems in Barcelona. If he is healthy and can get rolling, he will be a contender, but it seems as if betting sites have a hard time believing that this will be the year for the 26-year-old.
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Other selected odds for in-form players
| Casper Ruud (30/1) | Seems to be far from his best, but has one of the best resumes in Paris |
| Joao Fonseca (50/1) | Mainly fueled by hype, might be a couple of years too early for him in a best-of-five format. |
| Arthur Fils (50/1) | Dark horse pick at home and mightily in shape, but there are some doubts about his shape over the extended format. |
| Jack Draper (50/1) | One of the contenders for a Slam this year for sure, but his game is not ideally suited for clay and the results so far back this. |
| Lorenzo Musetti (66/1) | Compared to others, he actually loves the clay and has best-of-five experience. Will he have the power to beat the hard hitters? |
| Alex DeMinaur (80/1) | Seems to love the clay more and more – but can he really beat the top favorites? He is as consistent as they come though. |
Check also our post on the current race to be seeded for the French Open.
