Tonight’s ATP Santiago final is shaping up to be a good match between local favourite Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez, two players who’ve each shown great form during the tournament.
The odds are favoring a victory for Sebastian Baez, at 1.44 | 4/9 | -225 and a win for Baez gives 2.60 | 8/5 | +160.
Tabilo the local hope
Alejandro Tabilo has had a quite decent season, kicking off 2024 with a title win in Auckland, hinting at what could be a breakthrough year for him. He has already climbed over 140 spots in the rankings in around 12 months. His path to the Santiago final was highlighted by a fine victory over Tomas Barrios Vera, showing off his great play on clay, a surface he usually likes.
It won’t be easy today though, even if he will have a home crowd behind him that is of course hoping for one one of its countrymen with the trophy for the second consecutive year.
Sebastian Baez enters the final riding high from his first ever ATP 500 title in Rio recently, a victory that got him to a career-high ATP ranking of #21. His performance in Santiago has been fantastic as well, breezing through matches without dropping a set and we can see why he’s a favorite for the title.
Baez’s clay court record in 2024? An impressive 11-2.
H2H and Predictions, Baez vs Tabilo
The head-to-head record between Tabilo and Baez is evenly split at 1-1. That suggest a tough and even Santiago final, however we believe Baez will be too much of a problem for Tabilo.
Some interesting bets and odds market for Tabilo v Baez;
- 0-2, Set Betting (Baez) at odds 2.25 | 5/4 | +125
- Under 11.5, Total games won by Tabilo at odds 2.15 | 23/20 | +115
- 1st Set – Winner Baez at odds 1.53 | 8/15 | -187.5
1 comment
I think these are solid predictions as Baez’s form on clay just recently has been superb whereas Tabilo’s isn’t to bad neither, but yes I also think this match will go only one way.