US Open Pick of the Day: Dimitrov vs Tiafoe, Odds and Predictions

by Bren Gray
dimitrov

The US Open is heading towards the business end of the tournament this week, with the menā€™s quarter-finals beginning on day nine in New York. Two players looking to keep their hopes alive are Grigor Dimitrov and Frances Tiafoe, who will be licking their lips at the prospect of making a maiden Grand Slam final this year.

We have broken down all the latest odds on Dimitrov vs Tiafoe, and come up with the best betting tips ahead of this clash on Tuesday. Read on to find out just why we think the home crowd will be cheering at the US Open

US Open Day Nine Best Bets

Dimitrov is the bookiesā€™ favorite in this quarter-final, but weā€™re backing Tiafoe to come away from this match victorious. The American is in better form the past month, plays his best tennis in New York, and has been competing at easily a top 10 level over the last week at the US Open.

With that said, here are the betting lines we suggest taking on Dimitrov vs Tiafoe:

  • Tiafoe to win @ 2.37 | +137
  • Total games under 40.5 @ 1.80 | -125

Read on for context around why we think these are the best bets to make on day nine of the US Open.

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Dimitrov vs Tiafoe Preview

Bulgariaā€™s Dimitrov has been playing some of the best tennis of his career in 2024. He began the season off by breaking his title drought, winning that ATP 250 in Brisbane. Since then, heā€™s been a consistent performer, making finals in Marseilles and Miami, and picking up six top 10 wins as he solidifies his own place in the top 10 again.

However, the 33-year-oldā€™s form did drop slightly coming into the US Open. Since exiting Wimbledon in the round of 16, he won just one match in the North American hardcourt swing, losing first and second round in Canada and Cincinnati.

New York has seen his form pick back up though, with three straight set wins and then an impressive five-set victory over world No 6 Andrey Rublev most recently.

Tiafoeā€™s tale of the tape is a little different. The polar opposite, in fact. Until Wimbledon, the Americanā€™s year was very forgettableā€“he had gone from losing at the US Open last year through to Wimbledon this year, barely able to string two wins together.

However, a five-set loss to Carlos Alcaraz sparked his season back to life, and since then, Tiafoe has been red-hot. He made the quarter-finals of Atlanta, semi-finals of Washington and final in Cincinnati, breaking new ground in his career.

At the US Open so far, he has done what he does best: raised his level. Tiafoe is now 19-4 at the yearā€™s final Grand Slam since 2020, having added wins over Aleksandar Kovacevic, Alexander Shevchenko, Ben Shelton and Alexei Popyrin in the past week.

The reason why weā€™re backing Tiafoe to prevail against Dimtrov is threefold: the crowd, his track record in New York, and his more consistent form on North American hard courts.

Tiafoe seems to be in a better place mentally than he has been in a long time, and with his skillset plus the crowd behind him, itā€™s hard to see Dimitrov stopping him.

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