Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans will face each other in the semifinals of the 2023 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell. The match is scheduled for this Saturday at 4:00 pm local time at Pista Rafa Nadal, the main court on this event. Find out our detailed prediction for Alcaraz vs Evans in Barcelona, the best betting tips for this match, as well as the most reliable sportsbooks where you can place your bets.
Odds for Alcaraz vs Evans – Barcelona
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Betting Prediction for Alcaraz vs Evans – ATP Barcelona
Carlos Alcaraz continued his quest for a second consecutive title in Barcelona, defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6(5), 6-4 in two hours and 13 minutes. The world no.2 struggled with the wind but managed the big moments well to get the win in straight sets. Alcaraz is the defending champion in Barcelona and is trying to become the first player to win back-to-back titles in Catalonia since Rafael Nadal in 2018. Adding to this, Alcaraz is also trying to defend a title for the first time in his career.
Looking at Alcaraz’s numbers in the previous round, the 19-year-old only won 58% of his service points, which is significantly lower than his 63.8% career average on clay. Nonetheless, Alcaraz saved 8 of the 11 break points he faced in the match and broke Davidovich Fokina four times in total.
In the next round Alcaraz will face Daniel Evans, who is playing some of his best tennis this week. Despite his poor career record on clay, Evans made it to the semifinal at this event after some impressive performances. The 32-year-old will now try to extend his good results and become the first British player to reach the final in Barcelona. This is the second time this year that Evans has reached the semifinals of an ATP event on clay. The previous was at the ATP Marrakech a few weeks ago with Evans losing to Roberto Carballes Baena in three close sets.
Looking now at Evans’ campaign on this event, the world no.26 fought back from the brink of elimination to defeat Francisco Cerundolo by 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 in two hours and 10 minutes. The key moment in the match was at 5-5 in the second set, when Evans saved 0-40 and broke Cerundolo in the following game to claim the second set.
Alcaraz vs Evans Head-to-Head
This will be the second official meeting between these two players on the ATP Tour. Alcaraz leads 1-0 in the head-to-head after a 6-4, 6-3 victory over Evans at the ATP Vienna in 2021.
Alcaraz vs Evans Betting Tips – ATP Barcelona
The sportsbooks are expecting a straightforward win from Alcaraz vs Evans in this match in Barcelona. Looking at the prices from the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Alcaraz is available at 1.06, which is -1667 in American odds. On the other hand, Evans’ moneyline can be found at 10.50 (+950) to get the win against Alcaraz in Barcelona this Saturday.
Despite Evans’ impressive results so far this week, it’s hard to go against Alcaraz. The Spaniard has been almost unbeatable this year and should be too strong for Evans on this match. However, the moneyline for Alcaraz vs Evans on this prediction for Barcelona doesn’t present any value since the odds are incredibly low to bet on.
Looking at other betting markets for this match between Alcaraz and Evans in Barcelona, the best option seems to be the spread, also known as game handicap, for Alcaraz. We expect a comfortable win from Alcaraz on this match against Evans in straight sets, which means that he should be able to cover this line. Another good approach is taking Alcaraz to win in straight sets, but the odds for that bet are not as attractive as the ones for the spread.
Having said that, the best betting tip is the -6 game handicap in our prediction for the match Alcaraz vs Evans in Barcelona, which can be found at 1.77 (-130) among the best sportsbooks. The Spaniard should get an easy win in two sets and reach the Barcelona final for the second time in his career, which makes this the best bet on our prediction.
Prediction: Alcaraz -6 at 1.77 (-130)
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