The semifinals of the Indian Wells Masters 2023 will feature a fascinating contest between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner. These two players are considered the future of tennis and have always produced high-quality contests between them. On this article we’ll provide a detailed prediction for this match and list the best tennis betting tips that you can place.
Odds for Alcaraz vs Sinner – Indian Wells
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Betting Prediction for Alcaraz vs Sinner – ATP Indian Wells Masters
Carlos Alcaraz continued his quest for a maiden Indian Wells title on Thursday with a 6-4, 6-4 victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime in exactly two hours. The Canadian had a 3-0 lead in their head-to-head prior this encounter but Alcaraz proved too strong for Auger-Aliassime this time. The 19-year-old produced one of his best performances of the season and is slowly returning to his best tennis after some physical problems earlier this year.
The slow court conditions at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden suit Alcaraz’s game and made things very difficult for Auger-Aliassime. One of the key stats are the 12 break-point opportunities created by Alcaraz, who converted three of those. Adding to this, the Spaniard also ended the match with 26 winners to just 8 unforced errors in a brilliant display.
Alcaraz is currently the world no.2 but that can change in a few days. If the Spaniard wins the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, he will return to the no.1 spot on the ATP rankings next week. Alcaraz already spent 20 weeks as the world no.1 after winning the title at the US Open, but lost that spot to Novak Djokovic after his victory at the Australian Open earlier this year.
As mentioned before, Alcaraz will next face Jannik Sinner in a blockbuster encounter. The 21-year-old Italian is enjoying a good start to the season with 17 wins in the 20 matches he played so far in 2023. Besides winning a title in Montpellier, Sinner also made it to the final in Rotterdam, losing only to Daniil Medvedev in three close sets.
Looking now at Sinner’s campaign on this event, the world no.13 reaches this stage of the competition after a 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 win against Taylor Fritz in the quarterfinals. Fritz was the defending champion in Indian Wells but couldn’t find an answer to Sinner’s powerful groundstrokes and consistent baseline game.
This will be the second time that Sinner plays the semifinals of an ATP Masters 1000 event in his career. His previous time was at the Miami Masters in 2021, where he made it to the final after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut in the semifinals. However, he lost that final to Hubert Hurkacz, which means that he’s yet to win a Masters title. On the other hand, Alcaraz is already a two-time Masters 1000 champions after his victories in Miami and Madrid last year.
Alcaraz vs Sinner Head-to-Head
This will be the sixth official meeting between these two players on the ATP Tour. Alcaraz leads 3-2 in their head-to-head and also won their most recent encounter at the US Open last year.
Below is a detailed information of all their previous encounters.
| Date | Tournament | Players | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29th 2022 | US Open (Hard) | Alcaraz def. Sinner | 6-3, 6-7(7), 6-7(0), 7-5, 6-3 |
| Jul 25th 2022 | ATP Umag (Clay) | Sinner def. Alcaraz | 6-7(5), 6-1, 6-1 |
| Jun 27th 2022 | Wimbledon (Grass) | Sinner def. Alcaraz | 6-1, 6-4, 6-7(8), 6-3 |
| Nov 1st 2021 | Paris Masters (Indoor Hard) | Alcaraz def. Sinner | 7-6(1), 7-5 |
| Apr 1st 2019 | Alicante Challenger (Clay) | Alcaraz def. Sinner | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
Alcaraz vs Sinner Betting Tips – Indian Wells Masters
The sportsbooks are expecting a victory from Alcaraz on this match with the Spaniard priced as the favorite to beat Sinner in Indian Wells. Looking at the odds from the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Alcaraz is available at around 1.58, which is -172 in American odds.
Although Sinner has always been a tough opponent for Alcaraz, it’s hard to go against the US Open champion on this match. Alcaraz played at a very high level against Auger-Aliassime and the slower courts in Indian Wells suit his game to perfection. Many players have mentioned how slow the courts are this season, something that will help Alcaraz on this match against Sinner according to our prediction.
It wouldn’t be surprising to have a decisive set on this match, something that happened in their last two meetings, but Alcaraz should prevail in the end. If you’re looking to place a bet on this contest, Alcaraz to win seems the best betting approach and also our prediction here. However, if the current tennis betting odds are not good enough for you, we recommend waiting for the start of the match as you might get a chance to bet on Alcaraz at a higher price.
Prediction: Alcaraz to Win at 1.58 (-172)
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