Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz will face each other this Thursday in the quarterfinals of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships. The match is scheduled for 7:00 pm local time and it will be interesting to see if Hurkacz can end Djokovic’s perfect record in 2023. Find out our detailed prediction for this match, the best betting tips, and the most trustworthy sportsbooks to bet on tennis.
Betting Prediction for Djokovic vs Hurkacz – ATP Dubai
Novak Djokovic extended his perfect start to the season to 14-0 after an impressive 6-2, 6-3 victory over Tallon Griekspoor in just 77 minutes. The world no.1 clearly raised his level against Griekspoor after a slow start to the tournament on his debut. Djokovic needed a third set tiebreak to get past Tomas Machac in the opening round, but quickly found his best tennis in the next match.
Dubai is a very special place for Djokovic, who is chasing his sixth title on this event. Despite losing serve once in the match, Novak’s serve was very impressive against Griekspoor, winning 91% of the points behind his first serve. Djokovic did not face a single break point until he was leading by 6-2, 5-1 and ended the match with 29 winners to just 6 unforced errors.
In the following round the no.1 seed will face Hubert Hurkacz, who is also on a winning streak after his victory last week in Marseille. Hurkacz won all his last six official matches on the ATP Tour and is looking to become the first player to beat Djokovic in 2023.
Looking at Hubert’s campaign in Dubai so far, the Polish no.1 also had a difficult start on this tournament. In his opening match Hurkacz had to fight from a set down against Alexander Shevchenko, defeating the lucky loser 3-6, 6-3, 7-6(7) in little over two hours. This was a very difficult match for Hurkacz, since he had played in Marseille just a few days ago and didn’t have much time to get used to the game conditions.
In the second round Hurkacz raised the level of his game, defeating the qualifier Pavel Kotov 7-5, 6-1 in just 69 minutes. This was a much better display from Hurkacz, especially on serve. The Polish didn’t face a single break point in the entire match and won 91% of the points with his first serve, the same percentage as Djokovic in his last match.
As you can see, both players had similar paths on this event. The first round was very difficult and both needed a third set tiebreak to emerge victorious. Nonetheless, both Djokovic and Hurkacz raised their level in the following round and got comfortable wins with impressive numbers on serve.
Djokovic vs Hurkacz Head-to-Head
This will be the fifth career meeting between these two players. Djokovic leads 4-0 in their head-to-head but Hurkacz has never been an easy opponent for the Serbian on fast conditions.
The Polish always took a set in their previous two encounters on hard court and grass. On the other hand, Djokovic won easily in straight sets in the two times that they faced each other on clay.
Djokovic vs Hurkacz Betting Tips - ATP Dubai
The sportsbooks are expecting a straightforward win from Djokovic with the Serbian as the heavy favorite to win this match. Looking at the prices available in the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Djokovic is available around 1.12, which is -833 in American odds. While we understand Djokovic’s status and believe he will win this match, it’s impossible to find any value on his current tennis betting odds against Hurkacz. Even the straight sets victory is too low, currently around 1.44 (-227).
As mentioned before, both players were incredible dominant on serve in the previous round. One of the reasons for this is Dubai’s courts, which are considered some of the fastest hard courts on the tour. It’s true that Djokovic is one of the best returners in tennis history, but Hurkacz’s serve is not easy to handle on these conditions.
The head-to-head also shows that Hurkacz can create problems to Djokovic in fast conditions. They have faced each other in Wimbledon and at the Paris Masters, two tournaments with fast conditions, and in both matches Hurkacz was able to win a set.
Looking at the other betting markets available for this match between Djokovic and Hurkacz, the totals seem to be an interesting approach. The current line for the Over is 20.5 games and it’s available around 1.91 (-109) in the best sportsbooks. This is a line that can be covered with two sets if one of them goes to a 7-5 or 7-6, which is a very possible scenario on these fast conditions.
Having said that, the best betting tip on our prediction for the match between Djokovic and Hurkacz is the Over 20.5 games. We expect a closer match than the sportsbooks suggest, with Hurkacz creating some problems to the Serbian. Although we believe that Hurkacz can steal a set, the more likely scenario is a victory from Djokovic in two sets with one of them going the distance, potentially to a tiebreak.
TENNIS BETTING TIP DJOKOVIC VS HURKACZ
|Over 20.5 1.91 (-110)|
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