Home Tennis Betting Tips Fritz vs Shapovalov – ATP Miami Masters Prediction & Betting Tips

Fritz vs Shapovalov – ATP Miami Masters Prediction & Betting Tips

by TN Betting
Fritz vs Shapovalov – ATP Miami Masters Prediction & Betting Tips

The action continues at the Miami Gardens with Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov fighting for a place in the third round of the Miami Open. This match is scheduled for this Sunday and should be one of the most entertaining contests of the day. Keep reading to find out our detailed prediction for Fritz vs Shapovalov in Miami, as well as the best sportsbooks where you can place your tennis bets.

Odds for Fritz vs Shapovalov – Miami Masters

Player Spread Moneyline Totals
Taylor Fritz -3 (-116) -270 Over 22.5 (-111)
Denis Shapovalov +3 (+100) +231 Under 22.5 (-105)

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Betting Prediction for Fritz vs Shapovalov – ATP Miami Masters

Taylor Fritz has been one of the most in-form players over the last 12 months on the ATP Tour and his ranking reflects that. Despite failing to defend his title at the Indian Wells Masters last week, Fritz remained ranked in the Top 10. Adding to this, the 25-year-old from California also became the first American in the Top 5 since Andy Roddick in 2009 after winning the Delray Beach Open title in February.

The Miami Open has never been an easy tournament for Fritz, but he’ll be looking for a different result this season. This will be the seventh time that Fritz plays this event and he has never made it past the round of 16 on his previous appearances in Miami.

After having a bye in the first round, Fritz started his campaign in Miami with a solid 6-4, 6-1 victory over Emilio Nava in exactly one hour. The world no.10 proved too strong for the young wildcard, ending the match with 15 winners to just 7 unforced errors. In addition, Fritz broke serve four times and won 50% of the points played on Nava’s serve.

In the following round of the Miami Masters Fritz will face Denis Shapovalov, one of the most exciting players on tour. Despite his incredible talent, Shapovalov has struggled to find his form this season, especially after the Australian Open. The Canadian has a 2-4 record following the first Grand Slam of the season and hasn’t won back-to-back matches since then. Nonetheless, Miami is a tournament that brings special memories to Shapovalov since he’s a former semifinalist on this event.

Looking now at Shapovalov’s campaign on this year’s edition of the Miami Open, the 23-year-old defeated Guido Pella 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 in one hour and 55 minutes. It was not an easy match for Shapovalov, who struggled to find his rhythm on serve. The Canadian only hit 49% of his first serves and ended the match with 13 double faults. Nonetheless, Shapovalov still had some positive numbers overall with 41 winners to 29 unforced errors, but he definitely needs to improve his numbers on serve.

Fritz vs Shapovalov Head-to-Head

These two players will face each other for the 9th time in their careers. Shapovalov leads 5-3 in their head-to-head but Fritz won their most recent encounter in Acapulco a few weeks ago.

For those who follow tennis for quite some time it’s easy to understand this head-to-head. Shapovalov had a quicker rise than Fritz and won most of their first encounters on the ATP Tour. However, Fritz is a completely different player in the last two years and won two of their last three meetings.

Below you can find the detailed results of the previous encounters between Fritz and Shapovalov.

Date Tournament Players Result
Feb 27th 2023 ATP Acapulco (Hard) Fritz def. Shapovalov 6-4, 6-4
Oct 24th 2022 ATP Vienna (Indoor Hard) Shapovalov def. Fritz 6-1, 4-6, 6-3
Oct 3rd 2022 ATP Tokyo (Hard) Fritz def. Shapovalov 6-3, 6-7(5), 6-3
Sep 27th 2021 ATP San Diego (Hard) Shapovalov def. Fritz 7-6(7), 6-2
Mar 8th 2021 ATP Doha (Hard) Fritz def. Shapovalov 5-7, 6-3, 7-5
Aug 31st 2020 US Open (Hard) Shapovalov def. Fritz 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-2
Nov 18th 2019 Davis Cup (Indoor Hard) Shapovalov def. Fritz 7-6(6), 6-3
Feb 19th 2018 ATP Delray Beach (Hard) Shapovalov def. Fritz 7-5, 6-4

Fritz vs Shapovalov Betting Tips – Miami Masters

The sportsbooks are expecting a comfortable win from Fritz on this match with the American as the main favorite to get the win over Shapovalov in Miami. Looking at the odds from the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Fritz is available at 1.37, which is -270 in American odds.

Despite Shapovalov’s exciting game style, it’s hard to trust on him after his recent performances. In the first round he had many problems with his serve and it’s almost impossible for him to beat Fritz if he keeps hitting so many double faults. Adding to this, less than 50% of first serves is also extremely dangerous, as he will give many opportunities for Fritz to attack his second serve.

On the other hand, Fritz is playing some of his best tennis in recent weeks. Even though he failed to defend his title in Indian Wells, Fritz still made it to the quarterfinals and only lost to Jannik Sinner in three close sets. He also seemed very comfortable with the conditions in Miami and ready to make his best-ever campaign on this event.

As mentioned above, Fritz is the main favorite to win this match. His betting odds to win the match at 1.37 (-270) are not very high, but still a great option if you are looking to place a parlay bet, also known as accumulator. In case you’re looking for some more appealing odds, Fritz to cover the -3 spread at 1.86 (-116) against Shapovalov is also a good approach on our prediction. He covered this line against the Canadian in Acapulco a few weeks ago and should do the same here.

Having said that, both the moneyline and the -3 spread on Fritz are good options on our prediction for this match in Miami against Shapovalov. The American should be too solid while Shapovalov will have a very tough time to maintain a consistent level throughout the match.

Betting Prediction for Fritz vs Shapovalov:

  • Fritz to win at 1.37 (-270)
  • Fritz -3 at 1.86 (-116)

Don’t forget also to check the best betting sites to bet on this match. Having an account with multiple sportsbooks is always an advantage, as this allows you to shop around for the best odds and have access to more bonus.

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