The semifinals of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships will feature a very entertaining contest between Alexander Zverev and Andrey Rublev. This match is scheduled for 5:00pm local time and it will be the first of the two semifinals in Dubai. On this article we’ll provide a detailed prediction of this match, the best tennis betting tips, and the most reliable sportsbooks to place your bets.
Zverev to Win
Betting Prediction for Zverev vs Rublev – ATP Dubai
Andrey Rublev continued his title defense in Dubai this Thursday with a 6-3, 7-5 win over Botic Van de Zandschulp in one hour and 55 minutes. Rublev was one the brink of elimination in the previous round, saving five consecutive match points in the second set tiebreak against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. That was one of Rublev’s most impressive comebacks ever and definitely boosted his confidence for his following match against Van de Zandschulp.
The courts in Dubai are extremely fast and Rublev loves the conditions here. As mentioned before, he’s the defending champion at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships and is looking to lift his first trophy of the season. This has always been a special place for the Russian, who holds an impressive 13-3 career record on this event.
Rublev’s firepower proved too much for Van de Zandschulp in the previous round, ending the match with 28 winners to just 11 unforced errors. Adding to this, Rublev only lost his serve once and created 12 break points opportunities on the Dutch’s serve, converting two of those.
In the following round Rublev will face Alexander Zverev, who is slowly returning to his best form after long absence due to injury. The German suffered a devastating ankle injury last year at the French Open and missed the remaining tournaments of the season.
Zverev’s return to competition has not been easy, winning just three of the seven matches he played in 2023 before this event. Nevertheless, the former world no.2 has clearly raised the level of his game in Dubai to reach his first semifinals of the season.
Looking now at Alexander’s campaign on this tournament, the no.7 seed reached this stage of the competition after a 7-5, 6-4 victory against Lorenzo Sonego one hour and 53 minutes. Zverev was incredibly impressive with his first serve, landing 82% of his first serves and winning 84% of the points with that shot. However, it’s important to mention that he struggled when forced to play with his second serve, winning just 36% of the points. In total, Zverev faced six break points but was able to save them all.
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Zverev vs Rublev Head-to-Head
This will be the sixth official meeting between these two players with Zverev leading 5-0 in the head-to-head against Rublev.
As the numbers show, Zverev has been a terrible matchup for Rublev, who has yet to win a match against the German. In fact, Zverev won all their previous five matches in straight sets, with Rublev only forcing one tiebreak in their previous five encounters.
Even though Dimitrov and Bublik already faced each other four times, this will be their first ever meeting on indoor hard court.
Zverev vs Rublev Betting Tips – ATP Dubai
The sportsbooks are expecting a very close contest with Zverev as the slight favorite to win this match against Rublev. Looking at the prices available in the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Zverev has tennis betting odds of around 1.80 on the match winner, which is -125 in American odds.
Despite Rublev’s impressive record on this event, it’s hard to ignore Zverev’s dominance in their head-to-head. It’s true that Zverev is still trying to find his best level but the last performances were already a very good sign. One of the key indicators of Zverev’s confidence is his serve and he delivered it, landing more than 80% of his first serves in the previous round. On the other hand, Rublev has struggled to maintain a consistent level and was quite lucky to survive Davidovich Fokina in the second round.
When betting on tennis one of the key things we like to consider is the matchup, as that says a lot about the matchup of the two players. On this particular case, Zverev has clearly dominated Rublev over the years and that should play a major role on this match. This doesn’t mean that Rublev can’t end the negative streak and finally defeat Zverev, but it’s hard to make a prediction against such a dominant matchup.
From the baseline Rublev can make some damage with his forehand but Zverev will create a lot of problems to the Russian with his cross-court backhand, one of his best shots. That has been one of the reasons why Zverev has been such a tough matchup for Rublev, as he exploits Andrey’s weaker backhand very well.
With this in mind, the value is clearly on Zverev to win this match and we have to go with it. Rublev is a very exciting player and always a dangerous opponent in Dubai, but Zverev is a terrible matchup for him. This means that Zverev’s moneyline to beat Rublev in Dubai is the best tennis betting tip here, which can be found at odds of 1.80 (-125) in most sportsbooks.
TENNIS BETTING TIP ZVEREV VS RUBLEV
|Zverev to Win 1.80 (-125)|
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