An intriguing matchup looms in the third round of the US Open this weekend, with Australia’s Alex de Minaur taking on Brit Dan Evans. Now that Carlos Alcaraz has crashed out of the tournament, this quarter is wide open, and De Minaur will fancy his chances of making a maiden Grand Slam semi-final run in New York.
Can marathon man Evans stop the 10th seed? This is our US Open pick of the day, not just because it’s a fascinating match, but because we’ve found some excellent betting angles on this clash too. Read on to find out which odds are the best bets at the US Open today.
US Open Day Six, Best Bets
We don’t think the winner of this match is as clear cut as the betting odds suggest. Most bookies have De Minaur as the overwhelming favorite, but there are a few factors that make us skeptical to recommend a bet on the Aussie. Instead, here are the best US Open odds for De Minaur vs Evans.
- Total games under 34.5 @ 1.90 (-111)
These odds may not be the most lucrative, but we feel there’s a strong case for making this bet. Read on to find out why this is our US Open tip of the day.
De Minaur vs Evans Preview
Both of these players come into this match with some important context.
For De Minaur, it’s the hip injury that he sustained at Wimbledon. This is the Australian’s first tournament back since then, and reportedly, all has not been well health-wise in New York.
While he’s got the results on the board (a four set win in the first round followed by a straight sets victory most recently), the 25-year-old has been struggling in practice, and was even rumored to be considering withdrawing ahead of his match against Otto Virtanen. Now, you shouldn’t believe everything you read on Twitter, but it adds up, considering what we’ve seen from Jannik Sinner’s hip injury, which has lingered for months.
On the other side of the net, Evans is a 34-year-old that just played the longest match in US Open history earlier this week. Sure, he bounced back great with a straight sets win over Mariano Navone, but it would be naive to believe that there still isn’t some residual impact on Evan’s body coming into this match.
If De Minaur is healthy, he should win this match in straight sets. The reality is that although Evans has been impressive so far at the US Open, he has defeated a player playing the worst tennis of his career (Karen Khachanov) and a player who had never won a hard court match in his career before this week.
Trouble is, the “if” is a bit too big for us surrounding De Minaur. That’s why we’re suggesting a bet on total games under 34.5.
Evans is a creative player. If De Minaur’s movement is hampered, he will take full advantage of this, and there’s a world where he wins quite easily.
Either way, this one should be over in straight sets – though 34.5 games even allows for four sets, should one or two of the sets be one-sided.
