Maxime Cressy and Stan Wawrinka will face each other in the first round of the Mutua Madrid Open, the most important tennis tournament in Spain. Find out our detailed prediction for Cressy vs Wawrinka in Madrid, the best tennis betting tips for this match, as well as the most trustworthy sportsbooks where you can place your bets.
Odds for Cressy vs Wawrinka – Madrid Masters
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Betting Prediction for Cressy vs Wawrinka – ATP Madrid Masters
The Mutua Madrid Open is always one of the most interesting tournaments on the ATP Tour. One of the main reasons for that is because of Madrid’s altitude, which makes the game conditions significantly different. When playing at altitude the ball travels faster through the air, making it much more difficult to break the opponent’s serve. In case you want to learn more about this topic, we recommend checking our detailed guide on how altitude affects tennis betting, since this will be extremely useful for betting in Madrid and in other tournaments.
This year’s first round of the ATP Madrid Masters will feature a very interesting contest between Maxime Cressy and the three-time Grand Slam champion, Stan Wawrinka. Both players have struggled to find their best tennis since the beginning of the clay court season and hope to change that in Madrid.
Cressy is one of the most unorthodox players on tour but has made it to the top of the game. The 6’7” American is currently ranked as the world no.39 and made it to the ATP Montpellier final in February. However, Cressy’s attacking playing style is not suited for clay and his 10-22 career record on this surface is a good example of that. On top of that, the 25-year-old is on a six-match losing streak and hasn’t won a match since February.
All the above seems to indicate that Cressy has few chances to win against Wawrinka in Madrid, but that’s not exactly true. The main reason is Madrid’s altitude, which makes his playing style much more dangerous than in other clay-court events. Big servers, such as Cressy, thrive on these game conditions and are always a very tough opponent.
As mentioned before, Wawrinka has also struggled to produce his best tennis in the first clay tournaments. Last week, for example, he lost in the opening round at Banja Luka against Luca Van Assche after winning the first set 6-1. No doubt Van Assche is an extremely talented young player, but the Swiss was too inconsistent, especially after the opening set.
Wawrinka will make his first appearance in Madrid since 2019 and will be looking for a good run. His best result was in 2013, when he made it to the final, losing only to Rafael Nadal. Beside that campaign, Wawrinka also made it to the quarterfinals in 2019, but lost in the opening round in three of his last five appearances in the Spanish capital.
Cressy vs Wawrinka Head-to-Head
Cressy and Wawrinka have never played before, so we don’t have any previous results to consider on our prediction for their match in Madrid.
Cressy vs Wawrinka Betting Tips – ATP Madrid Masters
On paper this should be a straightforward win for Wawrinka against Cressy but that’s not our prediction for this match. The sportsbooks are also expecting an easy win from the Swiss, with Wawrinka as the main favorite to beat Cressy in Madrid.
Looking at the prices from the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Wawrinka is available at 1.37, which is -270 in American odds. On the other hand, you can find Cressy’s moneyline at around 3.27 (+227) to get the win over Wawrinka in the first round of the Madrid Masters.
As mentioned, several times, altitude is a key factor to consider when placing your bets on this tournament. The game conditions are much faster than normal, which means that players such as Cressy are incredibly tough to face. Cressy’s serve is a massive weapon on fast courts, and it will be very hard for Wawrinka to break the American’s serve. On top of this, Wawrinka is also not the best returner on the tour.
When looking at the different tennis betting markets for this match between Cressy vs Wawrinka in Madrid, the totals are an interesting prediction. Both players should hold serve comfortably and we expect at least one tiebreak to take place and probably three sets. Cressy’s moneyline also has some value in beating Wawrinka, but we prefer to stick to the totals on our prediction for this match in Madrid.
Having said that, the best betting tips for Cressy vs Wawrinka in our prediction for Madrid is the Over 22.5 games. This line can be found at around 1.85 (-118) among the best sportsbooks for tennis betting. Cressy should create a lot of problems for Wawrinka on this match, so we expect a very close and hard-fought encounter.
Prediction: Over 22.5 Games at 1.85 (-118)
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