Matteo Berrettini vs Holger Rune, Shanghai Masters, Odds and Predictions

Today’s prediction will be from the second round of the 2024 Shanghai Masters where Holger Rune takes on Italian Matteo Berrettini.

Update: Following heavy rain the match will now be played on Monday 7th October.

This might be an intense battle between two very talented players that has been a bit up and down lately.

Berrettini, used to injuries, had his fair share also this season and last week we saw him once again retiring in the second round against Arthur Fils. The Italian reached this round by beating Chris O’Connel in the first match, where it was very tight and two tie-breaks was needed to separate the players.

The former no 6 ranked, didn’t look too impressive but his strong serves saved him at more than one occasion, winning 75% of points on his first serve.

Holger Rune has shown glimpses of what he can do this season but is still not consistent enough. The Dane holds a 36-20 record this year though and is looking to end his run of early exits at Masters 1000 tournaments.

Currently ranked 14 , Rune had mixed results in all competitions this year but reached the semi-final of the Japan Open last week where he eventually lost to title winner Arthur Fils.

H2H

These two players met 4 times and Rune holds a 3-1 lead. The last win for him came in this year’s Cincinnati Open in 3 sets.

Berrettini vs Rune Odds and Predictions

We can see on the odds, that Rune is a small favorite at 1.83 (or -120) and Berrettini gives just over 2 times the money.

A bet on over 25.5 games pays 1.98 (or +100) and the under bet gives 1.77 (or -125)

The Italian will once again rely a lot on his first serve but we’ve seen Rune handle this quite well in previous encounters. Berrettini has only faced two top 20 players on hard-court this year and lost both.

The 12th seed Dane seems to have regained some form recently, as seen in Tokyo last week, following some poor results and changes of coaching team etc. We will back him in this match to progress to the third round on the moneyline.

Prediction: Rune to win – 1.83 | -120 | 5/6

Odds taken from our recommended sportsbooks. We recommend Cloudbet (crypto), Pinnacle or 22Bet.