The Wimbledon women’s quarter-finals conclude this Wednesday, with four players vying for their spots in London’s final four. Two of these are Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina, who open proceedings on Centre Court on day 10 of the tournament.
Can Rybakina, the 2022 Wimbledon champion and favorite to win again this year, live up to the weight of expectations on her in this match? Or will Svitolina, who made the Wimbledon semi-finals last year ranked No 76 in the world, spring another surprise on the SW19 crowd?
We break down everything there is to know about this clash with our Rybakina vs Svitolina prediction. Read on for the latest odds, plus each players’ path to victory and best betting tips.
Rybakina vs Svitolina Odds
Before we dive into our analysis of Rybakina vs Svitolina, let’s take a look at the bookmaker odds ahead of this quarter-final clash:
- Elena Rybakina @ 1.33 | -300
- Elina Svitolina @ 3.30 | +230
Tennis bookies have Rybakina a heavy favorite in this match, with the Kazakh paying just 1.33 (-300) to win on Wednesday. Svitolina is a moderate underdog, sitting at 3.30 (+230) to upset the No 4 seed. The game handicap is set at -3.5, with Rybakina at 1.70 (-143) to cover the spread and Svitolina paying 2.05 (+105) on her side.
This match is expected to end in two sets the way of Rybakina. She pays 1.80 (-125) for a 2-0 victory, while a 2-1 result her way is at 3.90 (+190). Total games sit at 21.5, with the over market returning 1.80 (-125) and the under paying 1.91 (-110).
Rybakina vs Svitolina Preview
Elena Rybakina
Rybakina came to Wimbledon as one of four leaders in the betting odds. With Iga Swiatek (lost third round), Coco Gauff (lost fourth round) and Aryna Sabalenka (late withdrawal) all out of the equation, she’s now the clear favorite to win the tournament.
Ahead of Wimbledon, Rybakina had been having an excellent season. She was 35-7 for the year, with three titles in Stuttgart, Abu Dhabi and Brisbane, plus a handful of other strong results.
The past 10 days, she’s only built on this momentum. All but one of her matches have been strongly one-sided. First, she saw off Elena Gabriela for the loss of just four games. Then, she outlasted Laura Siegemund 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, before tearing past Caroline Wozniacki and Anna Kalinskaya, losing only four games across both combined.
Elina Svitolina
Svitolina’s season has been far more sedate. She came to London with a record of 18-12 on the year, with her ranking sitting at No 21 in the world. Her highlights have included round-of-16 runs at both Grand Slams this year, plus a loss in the final of the ASB Classic to Coco Gauff.
Outside of these results, however, Svitolina has been quiet. She’s still only been back on Tour for less than 18 months though, having had over a year away to give birth to her daughter.
At Wimbledon the past 10 days, she’s turned on her Grand Slam magic once again. First, she outlasted Magda Linette, winning an epic 7-5, 6-7(9), 6-3, before running past Jule Niemeier, No 10 seed Ons Jabeur and Xinyu Wang, all in straight sets.
Rybakina vs Svitolina Prediction
This time last year, Svitolina faced off against Swiatek as a heavy underdog in the Wimbledon quarter-finals and prevailed. We don’t think lightning will strike twice, however.
Rybakina is a strong favorite in this match up for good reason. The pair met on clay just two months ago, with Rybakina easily winning in straight sets, 6-4, 6-3. Switching surfaces to clay will only enhance the No 4 seed’s advantage over Svitolina, with her flat groundstrokes and powerful serve gaining extra pay from the slick grass.
We expect that Rybakina will solidify her position as the favorite to win Wimbledon 2024 by putting on a dominant performance against Svitolina, who will fall one match short of equalling her impressive run last year.
Prediction: Rybakina to win in two sets.
What’s your hot take on this match? Let us know in the comments below!
