US Open Final: Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz, Odds and Predictions

by Bren Gray
fritz us open

After two weeks of very interesting tennis, we’ll get an exciting showdown in the US Open final between two superb ball strikers, Taylor Fritz and Jannik Sinner. 

Fritz has been playing at a really high level so far at the event, his highest this year. Sinner found good form in Cincinnati, and it continued through the US Open, though we’ve seen him play even better tennis earlier this year. 

It’s a final between two of the best-performing players so far, which should give us a great match. Read on for the best bets to make on the US Open men’s final, complete with our Sinner vs Fritz prediction.

US Open Day 14 Best Bets

This one is a bit of a daring bet because it can go wrong easily. The bet is simple: we’re backing Fritz to win the opening set. There are a couple of reasons behind this bet, namely that Sinner has had somewhat of a slow start in most of his matches.

  • Fritz to win 1st set @ 2.75 | +175

On the other hand, we’ve seen Fritz start strongly in most of his matches, and it will be hugely important in this one. He can’t afford to hand Sinner an early lead, because he’s facing a stronger player than himself.

Sinner vs Fritz
2.75
Fritz to win 1st set
Sinner vs Fritz
7/4
Fritz to win 1st set
Sinner vs Fritz
+175
Fritz to win 1st set
Sinner vs Fritz
2.75
Fritz to win 1st set

Fritz will need to take every chance he gets, which we believe will translate to a really fast start. Sinner dropped a few opening sets in his matches already, and he could have done that a few more times as well.

Sinner also generally takes a bit of warming up to start playing his best tennis, and Fritz could punish that. The American has generally won at least one set at all times when he faced Sinner, and we think that will happen again. 

This is one of those things you play on feeling. The odds are solid and it’s worth giving it a try. Fritz is far more likely to win the first set compared to the match. 

Bet on the match with good odds at any of our recommended online sportsbooks.

Sinner vs Fritz Preview

This is a matchup where we have two players who play a similar style. Both Fritz and Sinner are aggressive baseliners who like to attack and keep the points short.

That means we’ll see plenty of spectacular rallies in this one, and it also means that Sinner is likely to win the matchup. It’s simple: he’s better at this approach than Fritz is.

The American will need to rely heavily on his serve to keep Sinner at bay, and he’s not always been able to find that. At times he does, and he’s been very good so far at the event, but at other times it has lagged behind as well.

Sinner the experienced one

Another thing to remember is that Sinner has actually competed in and won a Grand Slam final before. That’s not the case for Fritz, who has never advanced past the quarter-final before this tournament.

jannik sinner forehand
Jannik Sinner with his powerful forehand

This gap in experience matters because in a crucial moment, Sinner is likely to be the calmer player. He’s generally been very clutch at the US Open this year, winning close sets easily. All of that makes this a very tough proposition for Fritz, but the way he’s played at times certainly warrants backing him to win at least a set.

In matchups like these, it’s not uncommon for the underdog to win the first set, as the top player takes some time to adjust. That’s why we’re backing this bet. It’s a risky play, but with everything that we’ve seen, it’s certainly worth backing as there isn’t much value in the betting markets for this match otherwise.

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