Davidovich Fokina vs Auger-Aliassime – ATP Doha Prediction & Betting Tips

Betting Prediction for Davidovich Fokina vs Auger-Aliassime – ATP Doha

Felix Auger-Aliassime ended 2022 in tremendous form, winning three consecutive titles in October and the Davis Cup with Canada. However, the 22-year-old hasn’t lived up to expectations in the first weeks of 2023, losing in the fourth round of the Australian Open and failing to defend his title in Rotterdam last week.

This is the first time that Auger-Aliassime is playing in Doha, and he’ll be looking to claim his first title of the season. The Canadian kicked off his ATP Doha campaign this Wednesday against Jason Kubler in a very tough battle, fighting back from a set down to beat Kubler 4-6 6-1 6-4 in two hours and 18 minutes.

On the next round Auger-Aliassime will face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who is playing the Qatar Open for the third time in his career. This is the second time that Davidovich Fokina reaches the quarterfinals on this event, and he will be looking to go one step further this season.

Looking at Davidovich Fokina’s path on this tournament so far, the Spaniard has played some impressive tennis in Doha. He started his campaign with a solid 6-4 6-3 win over Constant Lestienne, who has been in great form lately, breaking his opponent five times and winning 47% of the points played on Lestienne’s serve.

In the following round Davidovich Fokina extended his good form with a 6-3 6-2 win over Soonwoo Kwon in just 79 minutes. It was a very solid display from the 23-year-old, who saved all six break points he faced in the match and broke Kwon three times. Davidovich Fokina will be looking to end a four-match losing streak in ATP quarterfinals, as he hasn’t reached the semifinals since his brilliant run at the Monte Carlo Masters in April last year.

Davidovich Fokina vs Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head

These two players will face each other for the fourth time in their careers. Auger-Aliassime leads 3-0 in their head-to-head, but none of the matches was easy for him. Below are the scorelines of all their previous encounters:

• Alicante Challenger 2018: Auger-Aliassime won 7-5 7-5
• Australian Open 2022: Auger-Aliassime won 7-6(4) 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
• Rome Masters 2022: Auger-Aliassime won 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2

As you can see, all previous matches were very tough, especially the two most recent ones in 2022. Auger-Aliassime was always able to emerge victorious but never had an easy task against Davidovich Fokina.

Davidovich Fokina vs Auger-Aliassime Betting Prediction

When looking at the tennis betting odds for this match, it’s not surprising to see Auger-Aliassime as the big favorite to beat Davidovich Fokina. Besides the 3-0 lead in the head-to-head, he’s also the highest ranked and overall better player. However, this might not be such an easy match as the sportsbooks are expecting.

As mentioned above, all previous matches were incredibly close between them. Davidovich Fokina is an outstanding athlete and a very dangerous player when playing with confidence. That seems to be the case this week, as he played two very good matches and has yet to drop a set in Doha.

On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime hasn’t started 2023 in great form and struggle on his first match in Doha against Kubler. It’s true that he managed to get the win in the end, but the Canadian was far from impressive and below his best level.

Looking at the betting odds for this contest in the best sportsbooks, the value is clearly on Davidovich Fokina’s side and we have a couple of tips to take advantage of it. For those who like to take bigger risks, the moneyline can be an interesting option at +245. Nevertheless, it’s hard to ignore that Auger-Aliassime won all their previous meetings, making it a very risky bet to take the match winner market.

For that reason, we prefer other ways to take advantage of the value on Davidovich Fokina, mainly his spread, also known as game handicap, and also his set handicap. These are two betting tips to approach this match, as you just need for Davidovich Fokina to make things difficult for Auger-Aliassime.

Currently the spread is at +4 at -118 and the +1.5 set handicap at -108, the two best bets in our opinion for this match. The moneyline also has value but, as we mentioned, it’s hard to ignore Auger-Aliassime’s 100% winning record over Davidovich Fokina.

Betting Tips:

• Davidovich Fokina +4 at -118
• Davidovich Fokina +1.5 Set Handicap at -108