ATP Finals 2024: Odds and Predictions

From November 10 to 17, the ATP Finals will be held in Turin, Italy. It will feature the top 8 singles players in the ATP Tour to Turin and the top 8 doubles teams in the ATP Doubles Teams Rankings. For tennis fans, this prestigious event is also a sports betting opportunity. There’ll be many betting lines, from match winner and outright winner to props. 

Want to see how you can get in on this and make the most sensible picks? We’ve collected the major predictions and odds for the 2024 ATP Finals.

Who’s Playing at the ATP Finals?

Eight top-seeded players will be participating in the ATP Finals, meaning they won’t face each other until the quarters. They are as follows: 

• Jannik Sinner
• Alexander Zverev
• Carlos Alcaraz
• Novak Djokovic
• Daniil Medvedev
• Andrey Rublev
• Taylor Fritz
• Casper Ruud

Odds for the Top Five Favorites

You’ll find different opinions about players and teams as the Finals approach. However, betting sites remain the first place to look since they make the odds. The following are the current odds for this season-ending event!

• Carlos Alcaraz @ 3.00 (+200)
• Jannik Sinner @ 4.33 (+333)
• Novak Djokovic @ 4.75 (+375)
• Alexander Zverev @ 9.00 (+800)
• Daniil Medvedev @ 13.00 (+1200)

Alcaraz (3.00), Sinner (4.33), and Djokovic (4.75) are the sportsbook’s favourites from latest odds. While Alcaraz is the top contender, there isn’t much difference among him, Sinner, and Djokovic. 

However, this isn’t the case with the other two who round up the top 5 contenders list. Zverez at 9.00 is an outsider, the same as Medvedev at 13.00.

Tips and Predictions for Betting on the ATP Finals

Now that we know who’s participating at the finals and what the bookies think about them, it’s time to check out our predictions. Here’s what we predict to happen! 

Carlos Alcaraz Reaches the Final

Alcaraz has been a revelation this season, boasting an impressive 51-10 win-loss record. While his performance at the US Open, where he lost to the world No. 74 ranked Botic van de Zandschulp in Round 2, isn’t encouraging, he has already proven his mettle. Alcaraz’s aggressive baseline play, combined with his great fitness and strong mental game, makes him a constant odds favorite for any tournament. His victories over top players like Djokovic and Zverez this year further cement his status as a favourite.

Jannik Sinner Picks up Another Trophy

Sinner has been in phenomenal form, getting several high-profile victories this season. He recently defeated Djokovic in the semis of the Australian Open and went one better by clinching the trophy against Medvedev. Sinner’s speciality lies in his powerful groundstrokes, which were on full display as he emerged victorious at the US Open.

Alexander Zverev Is One to Watch Out For

Zverev’s serve is one of his biggest weapons, and he leads the ATP Tour in first-serve percentage, making 72.4% of his first serves. He is also among the top five for returns, so this may be the Zverev we were used to before his 2022 ankle injury. Zverev’s recent performances, including a semifinal run at the French Open, shows his ability to go deep in tournaments when he’s in form. His height and power give him an advantage on fast surfaces, making him a strong contender for the finals.

Daniil Medvedev Is a Dark Horse

Medvedev has had an ups-and-downs season, and few can complain about him going out to Sinner in the quarter-finals on the latter’s record-breaking run at the US Open. He also performed admirably in the Australian Open, going all the way to the semis before losing to Zverez. Who knows how his defeat to Sinner in the Shanghai Masters quarter-finals could have gone if he hadn’t suffered a shoulder injury? The bottom line is that Medvedev may be inconsistent so far in 2024, but it’s within his ability to go far in the tournament. 

Djokovic Can Rewind the Clock

Djokovic has had a challenging year, with notable defeats, including the Shanghai Masters finals to Sinner and his third-round exit in the US Open. However, he remains a formidable competitor despite these setbacks. He even picked up his first Olympic gold medal by defeating the superb Alcaraz. Throw in his mental resilience and long years of experience, and Djokovic winning another title may be possible. 

Who Should I Bet on at the ATP Finals?

While some may not have had an impressive year, all the participants in the ATP Finals are excellent players. So what does this mean? You can’t write off anyone. While Sinner and Alcaraz are obvious picks for many betting lines, names like Djokovic and Zverez ensure every match will be a tough challenge.

Odds above taken from our top rated sportsbooks. We recommend Cloudbet (crypto), Pinnacle or 22Bet.